Tuesday, September 2, 2008

WEEK 1

So far, I only see three games I'm definitely playing in week one (I'll let you know if anything changes): 

Bengals - 1.5 Ravens

DeVoodoo's pick: Bengals

I grabbed this line as soon as I heard Flacco was getting his first career start at QB for the Ravens. I probably would have liked this line regardless of who was playing QB for the Ravens, but especially so when it's a rookie from Delaware making his first ever start in one week one of the season. Who knows if McGahee will be any help. 

Moving on...

I enjoy the yin and yang of football — the contrast of offensive and defensive schemes. Offense is all about precision, timing, and coordination. Defense is about chaos. Generally speaking, it's easier to create chaos than order. That's why defenses tend to have an advantage over offenses during the first few weeks of the season — offenses need time to find their rhythm.

So every September I look forward to exploiting bloated O/U's based on last year's high-flying offensive averages. Here are two unders I'm taking:

Chiefs/Patriots UNDER @ 46

Cowboys/Browns UNDER @ 48.5

The Chiefs offense will be predictably terrible. It's the Patriots' offensive output that will surprise people. Issues along the offensive line will limit the Pats' aerial attack, even against a green Chiefs' secondary. 

Both, the Cowboys' and Browns' offenses, will need to be in mid-season form to combine for seven or more touchdowns. I'm betting that at least one team will sputter out of the gates. 

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