Within that gap between last year's perceptions and this year's realities is where you can find great opportunities to exploit imbalanced betting lines. So let's get started...
Vikings v. Saints (H) O/U @ 52
DeVoodoo's pick: UNDER
The last thing Vikings head coach coach Brad Childress wants to do is expose his frail 40-year-old QB to the kind of punishment he took during the NFC Championship game last year against the Saints. The best way to limit your quarterback's exposure to violence is run the football. So that's what I expect the Vikes to do. Run the ball, play tough defense, and avoid a shootout.
Cardinals v. Rams (H) O/U @ 42.5
DeVoodoo's pick: UNDER
Rookie QB Sam Bradford will likely make his first career start for the Rams. And this year's Cardinals offense is missing a certain something (namely... Kurt Warner and Anquan Boldin).
Dolphins -2 Bills (H)
DeVoodoo's pick: Dolphins
The Bills are the worst team in the NFL, with the wrong personnel to execute its new coaching schemes. The Dolphins have playoff aspirations — a win against a division foe on the road to start the season is mandatory.
Broncos +1.5 Jaguars (H)
DeVoodoo's pick: Jaguars
Broncos QB Kyle Orton will be better than most pundits expect this year. But overall this Broncos team is a mess; especially on defense, in the running game, and in the receiving corps. I expect a wily Jags team this year; a team that will get consistently overlooked.
49ers -3 Seahawks (H)
DeVoodoo's pick: 49ers
No team this off-season has seen more personnel turnover than the Seahawks (more than 50% of the roster is comprised of new faces). So don't expect the chemistry to be there in week one. (And I'm not sure we should expect it to be there in week 16, either.)
Falcons v. Steelers (H) O/U @ 37.5
DeVoodoo's pick: UNDER
If you haven't noticed, I love betting 'unders' in week 1. The idea is that it takes offenses most of September to find their rhythm, while defenses aren't burdened with issues of tempo and timing. And what we have here are two running teams that I fully expect to pound each other into the dirt.
Ravens v. Jets (H) O/U @ 36
DeVoodoo's pick: UNDER
See above.
Chargers -4.5 Chiefs (H)
DeVoodoo's pick: Chiefs
I'll take the home dog on the opening night of MNF. Furthermore, I like the Chiefs to win the division this year. And the first step in doing so is beating the Chargers at home.
Chargers v. Chiefs (H) O/U @ 45
DeVoodoo's pick: UNDER
That's an awful lot of points for two offenses with a lot of question marks.
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